Some Doubt the Covid19 Containment Measures on the Generally Healthy Population Made any Difference for Italy
PDF

Keywords

Covid19
Italy
Compartmental Models

How to Cite

1.
Boretti A. Some Doubt the Covid19 Containment Measures on the Generally Healthy Population Made any Difference for Italy: Covid19 Fatalities Much Larger in Europe, United States and Canada than elsewhere . Integr J Med Sci [Internet]. 2020Aug.3 [cited 2020Sep.27];7. Available from: http://mbmj.org/index.php/ijms/article/view/179

Abstract

There is a clear indication from the number of fatalities in similar countries that adopted different lockdown strategies, for example, Belgium, Spain, the United Kingdom or Italy, and others, that the more strict measures applied to the healthy population did not pay. There is also a clear indication that the compartmental model predictions of March were wrong, overrating peak fatalities of more than one order of magnitude. It is an unfortunate circumstance that the mainstream media in the west, as well as the “high impact” peer review, ignore the real-world pattern of Covid19 infection. Here we examine one of the examples of biased literature.

https://doi.org/10.15342/ijms.7.179
PDF

References

Gatto M, Bertuzzo E, Mari L, Miccoli S, Carraro L, Casagrandi R, et al. Spread and dynamics of the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy: Effects of emergency containment measures. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2020 May 12;117(19):10484–91. DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2004978117

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) Situation Report – 46 [Internet]. [cited 2020 June 18]. Available from: https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200306-sitrep-46-covid-19.pdf?sfvrsn=96b04adf_4

Bendavid E, Mulaney B, Sood N, Shah S, Ling E, Bromley-Dulfano R, et al. COVID-19 Antibody Seroprevalence in Santa Clara County, California. medRxiv. 2020 Apr 30;2020.04.14.20062463. DOI: 10.1101/2020.04.14.20062463

Istituto Superiore di Sanità. Caratteristiche dei pazienti deceduti positivi all’infezione da SARS-CoV-2 in Italia [Internet]. 2020 [cited 2020 June 18]. p. 10000. Available from: https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-decessi-italia

Ferguson NM, Laydon D, Nedjati-Gilani G, Imai N, Ainslie K, Baguelin M, et al. Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand [Internet]. Imperial.Ac.Uk. 2020 [cited 2020 Jul 24]. p. 3–20. DOI: 10.25561/77482

O’Toole, J. “Professor Lockdown” Ferguson, UK’s Covid-19 czar, admits crippling restrictions MADE NO DIFFERENCE – where’s the outrage? — RT Op-ed [Internet]. [cited 2020 June 18]. Available from: https://www.rt.com/op-ed/490659-ferguson-undermined-uk-lockdown/

Globalize this, Colombia and the IMF: Policies that Worsen Problems, January, 2002. [Internet]. [cited 2020 June 18]. Available from: www.cadtm.org/Colombia-and-the-IMF-Policies-that

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Copyright (c) 2020 Alberto Boretti